US-Soldaten in Afghanistan

War on the Rocks


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23.09.2014

"What China Should Learn from Russia’s Ukraine Adventure"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/09/what-china-should-learn-from-russias-ukraine-adventure/

Ali Wyne schreibt, dass Russlands Vorgehen in der Ukraine die nationalen Interessen des Landes insgesamt erheblich geschädigt habe. Die Risiken einer militärischen Durchsetzung von Territorialansprüchen seien dadurch auch China bewusst geworden. "(...) the consequences Russia has suffered this year have surely made China more sensitive to the risks it would take were it to attempt to assert its claims through force. Even if the United States were unwilling to intervene militarily should China seize, say, the Senkakus, the Spratlys, or the Scarborough Shoal, it has proven it can marshal a broad-based international sanctions regime, one that could do serious harm to China’s trade-based economy. China would also be more vulnerable than Russia to trade and energy disruptions."

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14.08.2014

"Don’t Engage Russia on the INF Treaty Yet"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/08/dont-engage-russia-on-the-inf-treaty-yet/

Bilyana Lilly erläutert die Hintergründe der russischen Verletzung des INF-Vertrages über nukleare Mittelstreckensysteme und empfiehlt der US-Regierung, auf eine direkte Konfrontation Russlands in dieser Frage vorerst zu verzichten. "The best option for the U.S. government is to continue to abide by the INF Treaty, be patient and wait for more favorable conditions, in which a dialogue with Russia on its treaty violations is possible. (...) If the United States withdraws from the treaty now because of Russia’s missile test, this would only play in Moscow’s favor. Free from its INF Treaty obligations, Russia may deploy cruise missiles along its borders with Europe and Asia, raising tensions in the region. A U.S. withdrawal would also serve as another arrow in Moscow’s quiver showing that the United States, not Russia, is the wrecker of international norms."

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01.07.2014

"Visualizing ISIS Violence in Iraq and Syria"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/07/infographic-visualizing-isis-violence-in-iraq-and-syria/

William Kammerer und Corina Simonelli vom National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) haben die bekannten Angriffe der ISIS im Irak und in Syrien in mehreren Infografiken zusammengestellt.

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16.06.2014

"ISIS: This Too Shall Pass"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/06/isis-this-too-shall-pass/

Mark Stout ist sicher, dass die aktuellen Territorialgewinne der radikalislamischen ISIS im Irak nicht von Dauer sein werden. Er verweist auf die Überlegungen des einflussreichen radikalislamischen Strategen Abu Musab al-Suri: "He believed that 'open fronts,' such as the 1980s jihad against the Soviet Union, efforts intended to liberate and hold territory, are unlikely to succeed. The simple fact is that they cannot stand up to modern military power backed up by modern intelligence. Instead, he recommended a turn toward individual jihad because it avoided the enemies’ strengths. In other words, Al-Suri would say that the more cities ISIS captures, the more money it has to keep track of, the more armored vehicles it acquires, the more social services it has to organize and deliver, the more it is setting itself up for a fall."

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10.06.2014

"Infographic: Where Terrorists Attacked in 2013"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/06/infographic-where-terrorists-attacked-in-2013/

"War on the Rocks" veröffentlicht in Zusammenarbeit mit dem National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) regelmäßig neue Infografiken zu aktuellen Trends im internationalen Terrorismus. "Terrorism’s footprint is truly global. In 2013, according to data collected by START, incidences of terrorism were recorded in 94 countries around the world. But the threat is far from uniform. The map below depicts the intensity and concentration of terrorist violence in 2013. We’ll follow up on this global picture with new infographic sets each week that examine some of the most interesting current and historical trends in terrorist activity."

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21.05.2014

"State of Jihad: The Reality of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/05/state-of-jihad-the-reality-of-the-islamic-state-in-iraq-and-syria/

Douglas A. Ollivant und Brian Fishman berichten, dass es der radikalislamischen Gruppe Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) gelungen sei, im syrisch-irakischen Grenzgebiet eine ganze Region unter ihre Kontrolle zu bringen. Es drohe die Entstehung eines neuen "sicheren Hafens" für internationale Terroristen. "Stretching in a long ellipse roughly from al-Raqqah in Syria to Fallujah in Iraq (with many other non-contiguous 'islands' of control in both Iraq and Syria), this former Al Qaeda affiliate holds territory, provides limited services, dispenses a form of justice (loosely defined), most definitely has an army, and flies its own flag. (...) ISIS presents a clear and present danger to American and European interests. The group does not have safe haven within a state. It is a de facto state that is a safe haven. Arguably, ISIS presents an even more vibrant incubator for international terrorism than did pre-9/11 Afghanistan. It would be the greatest of historical ironies if just at the moment when the operation in Afghanistan to banish Al Qaeda safe havens is concluded, an even more dangerous sanctuary emerges in the deserts between Baghdad and Damascus."

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19.05.2014

"U.S. Drones are from Mars, Euro Drones are from Venus"

http://warontherocks.com/2014/05/u-s-drones-are-from-mars-euro-drones-are-from-venus/

In den USA und in Europa gebe es sehr unterschiedliche Vorstellungen über den Zweck und die Einsatzziele von Kampfdrohnen, schreibt Ulrike Franke, Doktorandin an der University of Oxford. "I recently spoke to a UAV expert from the German Armed Forces who has been involved in the negotiations on the choice between importing foreign-built drones and developing a European system. He told me that many Europeans were not too fond of American unmanned systems as their armament was not appropriate for their purposes. In a nutshell: the American bombs were considered too big. If the German Armed Forces were to procure armed UAVs – which in itself is a separate discussion – my source said they would most likely prefer small and scalable armament: 'Ideally, we could have a UAV carrying a number of very small bombs – and only a few of them would be fitted with explosives. The other would have no explosive material but would produce only a loud bang or smoke without causing harm.'"

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