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"Why The West Fuels Conflict In Armenia"


Hans-Joachim Dübel wirft dem Westen vor, den Konflikt in Bergkarabach aufgrund von fragwürdigen geopolitischen Positionen angefacht zu haben. "(…) why does the West, whose governments are dominated by lawyers, not recognize the clear legal position in favor of the Armenian claim over Nagorno-Karabakh and defend a Stalinist injustice? The answer, as almost always when international law is broken without hesitation, is geopolitics: the political situation that arose from the secession of Nagorno-Karabakh is now being used by Washington and London, as well as their followers in Berlin, to keep the conflicts in the Caucasus in general boiling and to attack Moscow through its proxies in Ankara and Baku. The economic issue is oil and gas pipelines north and south of the Greater Caucasus. It is about the great east-west geopolitical axis that runs through Tbilisi and Baku in the middle of Halford Mackinder’s heartland of geopolitics, to Central Asia, and intersects in the Caucasus with the north-south axis between Moscow, Tehran and Baghdad. (…) As things stand now, the best chance for Turkey, and for peace in the entire region, is to keep the West, which seems eternally caught up in geopolitical power games, out of the conflict over Karabakh as much as possible and to find a common solution with Russia based on a reasonable interpretation of international law."

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"How Azerbaijan Is Lobbying Washington To Sanitize Its War"


In Washington sind Lobbyisten im Auftrag Aserbaidschans Barbara Boland zufolge dabei, US-Politiker davon zu überzeugen, den Konflikt in Bergkarabach aus aserbaidschanischer Sicht zu beurteilen. "(…) Azerbaijan has ramped up its public relations campaign, employing not one but six of K Street’s heavy-hitting firms, including the Livingston Group, Stellar Jay Communications, BGR, the Podesta Group, and DLA Piper. Last year the country spent $1.3 million on lobbying. Armenia traditionally lobbies through American community groups, and has just one firm working for them, Alston and Bird. The contract was signed September 16, so it’s unclear how much money they will spend petitioning Washington this year, but documents reveal they haven’t spent any money lobbying since 2016. Azerbaijan, on the other hand, lobbies in much the same manner as a Gulf State — though with considerably less resources — and has a long history of extensive lobbying efforts. (…) Azerbaijan’s hired K Street guns are distributing what are euphemistically referred to in FARA documents as 'informational materials.' These materials could be more accurately described as propaganda."

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"Paranoia About Trump And Russia Is Dangerous For Our Foreign Policy"


Ted Galen Carpenter fürchtet, dass die "paranoide" antirussische Stimmung in den USA die amerikanische Außenpolitik langfristig prägen könnte. Die McCarthy-Ära der 1950er Jahren zeige, welche negativen Folgen dies haben könnte. "America went through such stifling of debate during the original McCarthy era. The impact lasted a generation and was especially pernicious with respect to policy toward East Asia. Washington locked itself into a set of rigid positions, including trying to orchestrate an international effort to shun and isolate China’s communist government and see every adverse development in the region as the result of machinations by Beijing and Moscow. The result was an increasingly futile, counterproductive China policy until Richard Nixon had the wisdom to chart a new course in the early 1970s. This ossified thinking and lack of debate also produced the disastrous military crusade in Vietnam. America cannot afford such folly again. Smearing those who favor a less confrontational policy toward Moscow as puppets, traitors, and (in the case of accusations against Tulsi Gabbard) 'Russian assets' will not lead to prudent policies. Persisting in such an approach will exacerbate dangerous tensions abroad and undermine needed political debate at home."

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"Armenians Are In Danger Of Ethnic Cleansing Once Again"


Die türkische Journalistin Uzay Bulut macht Aserbaidschan und die Türkei für die jüngste Eskalation des Konflikts in Bergkarabach verantwortlich und warnt vor einer "ethnischen Säuberung" in der umkämpften Region. "Since September 27, Azerbaijan has unleashed an aggressive war against the Armenian people of Nagorno-Karabakh, also known as the Artsakh Republic, in south Caucasus. With the direct support it receives from Turkey, Azerbaijan is indiscriminately bombing residential areas across the region. Through these assaults, Azerbaijan and Turkey are once again endangering the existence of Artsakh and the survival of Armenia. (…) Turkey and Azerbaijan, whose total populations are over 100 million, are once again targeting the Armenian homeland of around 3 million people. They are utilizing modern arms to complete their century-long goal of ethically cleansing Armenians from the region."

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"How America Helped Create The Conflict In The South Caucasus"


Nach Ansicht von Eldar Mamedov sind die USA für den Konflikt in Bergkarabach mitverantwortlich. "The conflict has local drivers, and the primary responsibility for its endurance, without any doubt, lies with local political elites. However, the United States, in the heyday of its post-Cold War unipolar moment, when it felt empowered to engage just about every conflict around the world, made a number of choices that rendered the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict more difficult. When the South Caucasus nations emerged as independent states following the demise of the Soviet Union in 1991, Washington’s policy priorities included their swift integration into the U.S.-led liberal world order, bringing their energy riches to global markets, promoting Turkey as a regional model of a secular and pro-Western state, and excluding post-Soviet Russia, and especially Iran, from the regional integration projects. These choices ignored the historical and cultural realities of the region and failed to take into account their possible impact on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict."

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"Meet The Russian Oligarch Who Helped Drive Russiagate"


Die erste Amtszeit von Donald Trump ist u.a. von dem Vorwurf begleitet worden, dass der US-Präsident nur mit russischer Hilfe gewinnen konnte und sich bis heute unter dem Einfluss Moskaus befinde, schreibt Mark Episkopos. Mittlerweile habe sich herausgestellt, dass wichtige "Russiagate"-Vertreter selbst enge russische Kontakte gehabt hätten. "The many failures and embarrassments of Russiagate are well-catalogued. There is, however, a particular dimension of the Russiagate saga that has long been overlooked — namely, the shocking extent to which these narratives have been propelled and amplified with the help of powerful Russians who have been permitted, if not invited, to meddle in American politics. (…) [Russian businessman Mikhail Khodorkovsky], unlike the Americans who work for his many proxies and front groups, has no real stake or apparent interest in the future of American democracy. He is, instead, cynically exploiting a constitutional crisis in the U.S. in order to foment regime change in Russia. Even more shockingly, he is doing all this with the enthusiastic approval of the very same political establishment that has insisted for the past six years that foreign meddling — particularly of the Russian variety — poses a mortal threat on the same level as an act of war."

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"Trump’s Assad Assassination Comment Undermines His Campaign"


US-Präsident Trump hat unlängst mitgeteilt, dass er kurzzeitig ein Attentat auf den syrischen Präsidenten Assad erwogen habe. Nach Ansicht von Curt Mills hat Trump mit dieser Bemerkung seine eigene Wahlkampfstrategie untergraben. "(…) the Assad comment truly poured cold water on the idea of Trump the peacenik. And on Syria, at least, the comment throws into serious doubt the idea of Trump the realist. This is all the more astonishing — because, think what you will about Trump — few others in American politics have been willing to point out what is commonplace knowledge in the rest of the globe: the world is complicated, and it is clear that America does not always help. (…) The main counterpoint to any frustration with Trump’s foreign policy is one defense: the so-called 'madman theory.' Cribbed from the Richard Nixon White House, it holds there is nuanced continuity in Trump’s approach. Trump threatens 'fire and fury' on North Korea, before sitting down for a deal. He punishes Assad, before laying the groundwork to leave the country. And to hear some Iran hawks, he assassinates senior Iranian officials like Qasem Soleimani, in order to increase his leverage at a future bargaining table. But there is another theory: Trump is simply playing with fire, and has grown enamored with the awesome power over life and death. The Soleimani strike, in particular, remains concerning."

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"Why Trump Has Been Good For Europe"


Die antagonistische Haltung von US-Präsident Trump gegenüber Europa könnte für die europäische Selbstfindung durchaus positive Folgen haben, meint Ben Sixsmith. Die aktuelle Krise zwischen der Türkei und Griechenland wäre früher von den USA gelöst worden. Diesmal könne sich Europa nicht auf die amerikanische Hilfe verlassen. "But if Europe has to rely less on the United States, is that really a bad thing? For decades, European governments have leaned heavily on the U.S. for military power, medical innovation, medical supplies, et cetera, all while coasting on a higher level of cultural prestige for their less belligerent foreign policies and more humane health care systems. (…) Erdogan’s increasing confidence appears to reflect a belief that Trumpism is nationalistic enough that Europe cannot afford to hitch a ride on America’s military-industrial machine. Trump has been good for Europe inasmuch as he has forced its leaders to appreciate the partial truth of this. In a world of ambitious 'civilization states,' Europeans can stand with allies but must also stand up for themselves — and, as geopolitical rivals scorn their heritage and mock their cultural and demographic malaise, could also find something of the European identities that preceded fruitless managerial liberalism."

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"In Turkey, Even Dead Christians Aren’t Safe"


In der Türkei habe sich ein "Hass" auf alles Nichtmuslimische ausgebreitet, der selbst vor der Schändung von christlichen Gräbern nicht mehr haltmache, berichtet Uzay Bulut. "A recent demonstration of this hostility took place in the Turkish capital of Ankara. Graves in an Armenian cemetery there were reportedly desecrated, according to the news website Bianet: 'The Armenian Stanoz Cemetery in Ankara’s Sincan district has been the target of treasure hunters for years. The cemetery has been damaged many times before. A part of the Armenian cemetery with agricultural land next to it is also used as a picnic area. (…)' Such attacks are not isolated incidents in Turkey. They’re widespread and the reason appears to be the hatred and intolerance many Turks have for non-Muslims. Even a majority of the representatives in the Turkish political opposition do not raise their voices against the abuses of non-Muslim cemeteries and graves. Meanwhile the examples keep accumulating."

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"America Has Always Run On Terror"


Peter van Buren hält die rigiden Lockdown-Maßnahmen zur Eindämmung der Corona-Pandemie in den USA für den jüngsten Ausdruck einer langen amerikanischen Praxis, auf "irrationale" Ängste mit weitreichenden "Schutzritualen" zu reagieren. "Those irrational fears from the Cold War and post-9/11 are nothing compared to today; imagine the McCarthy Red Scare powered by social media. Every week it has been something new that will destroy us — war with North Korea and Iran, Boogaloo Bois, Trump the Manchurian Candidate, not enough beds, and not enough ventilators. We’re worried a fascist government is taking away free speech and we’re worried the government isn’t doing enough to suppress free speech to stop hate. There are too many guns for us to be safe and not enough guns to protect us. After a decade of terrorists everywhere (when they were actually nowhere) we transition to live in terror of the virus. People not only support the restrictions and lockdowns, they want more to feel safer, much like Americans demanded more nukes thinking they’d sleep better during the Cold War. The enemy is those who oppose more retrictions. (…) Fear is very powerful, and learned helplessness a dangerous thing. So forgive my dry heart when I am not sure I should fear for our democracy even as I fear for our sanity. And don’t be surprised at how quickly the virus clears away once the election is over. And don’t be surprised when it is replaced by a new thing to fear."

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"If Trump Pardons Snowden, He Will Have My Vote"


Eine Begnadigung Edward Snowdens würde US-Präsident Trump unter libertären Amerikanern neue Unterstützung verschaffen, ist Jack Hunter sicher. Für den NSA-Whistleblower sei Trump auf absehbare Zeit die einzige Hoffnung auf eine Rückkehr in die USA. "Unless a similar liberty-minded Republican or a principled progressive in the mold of Democratic Reps. Tulsi Gabbard or Ro Khanna, or Democratic civil libertarian Senator Ron Wyden, is ever elected president, it is hard to imagine another president in my lifetime even considering allowing 37-year-old Snowden to return to the United States from Russia, where he remains in exile. Most establishment Republicans would never consider pardoning Snowden. Democratic President Barack Obama not only refused to do so four years ago, but his former United Nations Ambassador and once rumored vice presidential pick for Biden 2020, Susan Rice, cemented where the centrist Democratic establishment lands on this issue in a tweet last month. 'I. Just. Can’t,' Rice tweeted in mid-August. 'Congratulations GOP. This is who you are now.' (...) In fact, a Snowden pardon could also be the most swamp-draining act to date of Trump’s presidency. The 'deep state' that is protected by both parties — and that would be protected by a President Joe Biden — will never give Snowden a chance to return to his home country."

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"Foreign Policy Restraint Was Winning At The RNC"


Auf dem Wahlparteitag der US-Republikaner habe sich ein außenpolitischer Umschwung abgezeichnet, schreibt Willis Krumholz. Viele Jahre sei die Partei von Neokonservativen dominiert worden. Diesmal hätten viele Vertreter der "old-school GOP" ihren Auftritt gehabt. "The most stunning part of this shift has been the exodus of prominent neoconservatives from the Republican Party, including the many staffers for George W. Bush, John McCain, and Mitt Romney who have endorsed Joe Biden. David Frum, who wrote Bush’s 'Axis of Evil' speech in 2002 — a significant step toward the Iraq War — is now a prominent Trump critic. The exodus of these Bush-era neocons started as soon as Trump won the nomination, and they have since found an ideological home among the corporate media and embraced by left-leaning institutions. (…) The American right has likely shifted permanently on foreign policy, despite the best-efforts by the interventionist wing. That’s because there’s some ideological coherence to Trump’s foreign policy, and it more closely aligns with the desires of grassroots conservatives than with the schemes of the media darling neoconservative pool."

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"Our Allies Will Help With China — On Their Own Terms"


Mark Perry empfiehlt der US-Regierung anlässlich des Besuchs von Außenminister Pompeo in Australien, bei der Suche nach Verbündeten im Konflikt mit China auf eine andere Strategie zu setzen. Canberra wäre z.B. durchaus bereit, die USA zu unterstützen, halte jedoch nichts von einer Militarisierung des Konflikts. "The message from 'down under' is unmistakable: Canberra will continue to partner with the U.S. in building a more secure environment in the Southwest Pacific, but Canberra is not interested in transforming their region into a theatre of conflict. So while Americans are quick to applaud the Trump administration’s 'America First' agenda, Pompeo and Esper’s meeting with their Australian counterparts show that two can play at that game — reinforcing what is now becoming all too apparent in the age of Trump: that America’s allies are willing to help the U.S., but only on their own terms."

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"Why The U.S. Should Keep Its Distance From Belarus"


Ted Galen Carpenter fühlt sich durch die Proteste in Belarus an den Umsturz in der Ukraine erinnert. Er empfiehlt der US-Regierung, in diesem Fall auf eine Einmischung zu verzichten. "Washington’s conduct in Ukraine was recklessly provocative, and the Trump administration needs to adopt a far better policy regarding Belarus. Even from a political and diplomatic standpoint, it would be unwise for Washington to identify too closely with the demonstrators there. (…) We know little about the political orientation of and possible factionalism in the anti-Lukashenko forces. Even more important, caution is warranted because of important geostrategic considerations. U.S. officials have repeatedly claimed that the concept of spheres of influence has no legitimate place in international affairs, with both Condoleezza Rice and John Kerry explicitly making that assertion. It’s a shockingly naïve view that ignores both history and logic. Great powers understandably view developments in their neighborhood as more important than events in distant locales, and they seek to protect their interests. Russian leaders have reason to regard Ukraine and Belarus as being within Moscow’s rightful sphere of influence. Indeed, those two nations are within Russia’s core security zone, and the Kremlin will likely go to great lengths to prevent an even bigger NATO military presence on its borders than the one that exists now. A prudent U.S. foreign policy would tread very carefully regarding either Ukraine or Belarus."

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"How The UAE Found A Friend In Israel"


Rohollah Faghihi erklärt, warum sich die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate trotz ihrer wirtschaftlichen Beziehungen zum Iran zu einer Normalisierung der Beziehungen zu Israel entschlossen haben könnten. "(…) what happened that spurred MBZ [Crown prince of Abu Dhabi Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan] towards officially normalizing the country’s ties with Israel? It is possibly all about Iran, the U.S., and Trump. In the past three years, the UAE faced an unprecedented challenge: A reported strike of Yemeni, Iran-backed Houthis on Dubai airport in 2018 and the sabotage attack on four commercial ships in Fujairah’s coast. Looking at these threats as a clear warning by Tehran, MBZ expected the U.S. to stand fully behind Abu Dhabi and teach Tehran a lesson. But no one from the White House assured them of their safety. This was probably a turning point for the UAE as it reminded them of former U.S. President Barack Obama who, in their eyes, sold them out to Iran. Hence, they embarked on a quest to reach an independent foreign policy while forming an alliance and seeking new shelters to survive as MBZ has been always anxious about being in the crossfire of an Israel-Iran war."

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"Thanks To Trump Our Foreign Policy Isn’t In Crisis, It’s Recovering"


Trotz vieler Rückschläge in der jüngeren US-Außenpolitik ist Peter van Buren der Ansicht, dass der von Präsident Trump vorgenommene außenpolitische Richtungswechsel grundsätzlich zu begrüßen sei. "There are many domestic Trump policies people don’t like, and this isn’t meant to defend them. But it is worth noting how central war-making has been to mucking up America, whether it is savaging our economy with debt, diverting funds from some social program to war, fueling terrorism either directly through CIA funding, or indirectly by blowing up wedding parties and creating new enemies. America’s war-making has turned allies against us, burned too many times by American adventurism. For those concerned about America’s image, the most offensive Trump tweets have little to compare to Obama’s serial 'accidental' bombings of schools and hospitals. So while the easy out is to rebut this with 'But Trump…,' that ignores the centrality of war to American foreign policy and the benefits in walking that back."

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"Much Ado About A Minor Troop Movement"


Die Bedeutung der geplanten Verlegung von US-Truppen aus Deutschland sollte Daniel Larison zufolge nicht überschätzt werden. "The move is intended as a slight to Germany, but it probably won’t bother most Germans. According to a Pew survey conducted last year, only 15 percent of Germans said that the bases were very important to their national security. A few thousand Americans more or less won’t trouble them. If this is supposed to punish Germany because it has resisted Trump’s demands for more military spending, it isn’t likely to spur their government to do what the administration wants. (…) Many establishment critics of the decision have been quick to label the modest reduction a “gift to Putin, but it’s not clear what Russia actually gains from this. U.S. bases in Germany have very little to do with opposing Russia these days, and whether Russia does or doesn’t welcome a U.S. move should be irrelevant if that move is in the American interest. These bases are there to aid in U.S. power projection to other regions, and that is what the remaining forces in Europe will continue to do."

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"The 'Liberal Order' That Never Was"


Daniel Larison empfiehlt das Buch "The False Promise of Liberal Order" von Patrick Porter, der die derzeit vermeintlich vor dem Kollaps stehende "liberale internationale Ordnung" als "Mythos" und "Euphemismus" für die Hegemonie der USA beschreibe. "'Not only did a liberal order never truly exist. Such an order cannot exist,' Porter writes in the first few pages of his book. It is a provocative thesis, and one that he defends admirably. The 'liberal order' is a euphemism for U.S. hegemony and the use of American power in the world, and it is used to tout the virtues of American armed supremacy while overlooking the enormous harm that U.S. policies have done in many parts of the world. (…) The flaw at the heart of defenses of 'liberal order,' Porter explains, is that they necessarily exclude the uglier, destructive parts of the story that were part and parcel of the ordering that took place. On the one hand, defenders of 'liberal order' accept the imperial role that the U.S. has assumed in the last seventy years, and they 'desire what amounts to a world monarch,' but they separate out the history of violence and devastation from their account of the 'liberal order' to make it seem more appealing."

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"Insiders: President Wants 'Breakthrough' NoKo Deal Before Election"


Die US-Regierung wolle vor den Wahlen im November einen letzten Vorstoß für einen diplomatischen Durchbruch in den Verhandlungen mit Nordkorea unternehmen, berichtet Harry J. Kazianis. "If a deal can be struck, the hope is that the agreement would be signed in a potential third summit this Fall, in an Asian capital within train or flying distance of Pyongyang. None of this is shocking, per se. Both the Trump administration and the Kim regime have made passing references about a potential meeting for several weeks now. And while Pyongyang has sent conflicting messages on whether a summit is of firm interest — Chairman Kim Jong-un’s sister, Kim Yo-Jong, for example, offered very mixed messages about a potential meeting in a press statement last week — the White House is working under the assumption that there is enough of a chance that the Kim regime is interested that it is 'worth making the attempt.' (…) For the moment, the idea is to offer a 'customized package of sanctions relief' according to two White House sources in exchange for a reciprocal package that includes the dismantlement of one or more key nuclear production facilities as well as a formal nuclear and missile testing moratorium pledge. There is also interest, this time according to a State Department source, of securing a freeze in North Korea’s nuclear weapons production as well as the halting of production of any fissile material as well as missile production. (…) While there is clear optimism that a summit and deal is possible, White House officials concede that they worry North Korea might not come to the table, knowing that Trump’s reelection chances are clearly in doubt."

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"Three Glaring Problems With The Russian Taliban 'Bounty' Story"


Barbara Boland hält die spektakulären Berichte über angebliche russische Kopfgeldzahlungen für getötete US-Soldaten in Afghanistan aus drei Gründen für fragwürdig: "Let’s take a deeper dive into some of the problems with the reporting here: 1. Anonymous U.S. and Taliban sources? The Times article repeatedly cites unnamed 'American intelligence officials.' (…) Furthermore, the unnamed intelligence sources who spoke with the Times say that their assessment is based 'on interrogations of captured Afghan militants and criminals.' That’s a red flag, said John Kiriakou, a former analyst and case officer for the CIA who led the team that captured senior al-Qaeda member Abu Zubaydah in Pakistan in 2002. 'When you capture a prisoner, and you’re interrogating him, the prisoner is going to tell you what he thinks you want to hear,' he said in an interview with The American Conservative. 'There’s no evidence here, there’s no proof.' (…) 2. What purpose would bounties serve? Everyone and their mother knows Trump wants to pull the troops out of Afghanistan, said Kiriakou. 'He ran on it and he has said it hundreds of times,' he said. 'So why would the Russians bother putting a bounty on U.S. troops if we’re about to leave Afghanistan shortly anyway?' (…) 3. Why is this story being leaked now? (…) This story is 'WMD [all over] again,' said McGovern, who in the 1980s chaired National Intelligence Estimates and prepared the President’s Daily Brief. He believes the stories seek to preempt DOJ findings on the origins of the Russiagate probe."

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"Is Biden Trying To 'Out-Hawk' Trump On Foreign Policy?"


Die Zusammensetzung des außenpolitischen Teams von Präsidentschaftskandidat Joe Biden lässt James Carden vermuten, dass die USA nach einem möglichen Wahlsieg Bidens im November einen sicherheitspolitischen Kurswechsel zugunsten des Establishments in Washington vollziehen würden. "(…) the Biden camp has given anti-interventionist progressives and Democrats little reason for optimism. Biden’s known foreign policy advisers are a who’s who of the foreign policy establishment. Recent comments by some high-profile members of Biden’s brain trust show an undiminished, and decidedly unprogressive, enthusiasm for regime change wars, sanctions, and nuclear weapons. (…) Even worse, as The Atlantic’s Peter Beinart points out, 'Instead of challenging the Pentagon’s sky-high budget, Biden’s highest-profile foreign-policy foray since clinching the Democratic nomination has been to try to out-hawk Donald Trump on China.'"

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"Libya: The Ultimate Free-For-All Foreign Intervention"


Der Bürgerkrieg in Libyen werde mittlerweile von ausländischen Akteuren dominiert und in die Länge gezogen, schreibt Khaled Saffuri von der National Interest Foundation. Auch Frankreich sei für das unnötige Blutvergießen verantwortlich. "France’s role in Libya is more obscure. The European Union may be the GNA’s biggest backer, but France is giving Haftar financial and military support. Driven by concerns over terrorism at home, French policymakers have decided installing an authoritarian strongman is the best way to prevent radical groups from attaining a foothold in North Africa. Paris has provided Haftar with advisers, clandestine operatives, and special forces and took responsibility for its weapons being used by Haftar’s forces in violation of the U.N. arms embargo, caveating it with the excuse the equipment has been 'lost' by French troops. (…) Malicious foreign actors have prolonged the conflict in Libya. Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Russia, and France are complicit in the undermining of the GNA, and sustaining the years of bloodshed there. (…) The regional conflict is about to heat up, with U.S. allies pitted against one another. America needs to put major diplomatic effort toward defusing things before they erupt. All parties should pull their troops out, the arms embargo should be enforced, and a major peace conference should be convened. Otherwise, a bloody war that repeats what happened in Syria, with similar consequences, is likely in the offing."

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"Trump Escalates Killer Drone War And No One Seems To Care"


Daniel Larison wirft US-Präsident Trump vor, den globalen Drohnenkrieg der USA von der Öffentlichkeit weitgehend unbeachtet besonders in Afrika eskaliert zu haben. "The Trump administration has significantly increased the tempo of drone strikes in a number of countries, and it has relaxed the rules governing the targeting of these strikes. The result has been an increased number of civilian casualties with even less accountability than before and no redress for the innocent people caught in the middle of our endless wars. The U.S. government restricts the information that is publicly available about these attacks, and that in turn ensures that there is very little public scrutiny or criticism of an open-ended military campaign. (…) The Trump administration is taking the misguided assumptions of the 'war on terror' to their logical conclusion. They have taken an already militarized response and made it more violent and careless. They have intensified the drone war in the belief that more strikes lead to less terrorism when the strikes have produced the opposite result. The longer this goes on, the more incinerated minibuses filled with innocent victims there will be. The reality is that the drone war creates more of the very thing it is supposed to be destroying."

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"'Conservative' House GOP Wants America To Wage War Against All"


Die Republikaner im US-Repräsentantenhaus haben ein außenpolitisches Strategiepapier vorgelegt, das die USA Doug Bandow zufolge in immer mehr Kriege führen würde. "These conservatives, supposedly committed to the American republic, based on individual liberty and limited government, advocate that the U.S. should make every foreign crisis America’s own, defend every rich friend, engage in nation-building everywhere, turn policy over to politically influential allies, dictate to great powers, and make new enemies at every turn. (…) The paper closes with a standard Republican bromide: 'New global threats make American leadership more imperative now than ever before.' The U.S. must forever attempt to dominate the globe. America must defend everyone. America must confront everyone. America must impose its will on everyone. This agenda is neither sustainable nor desirable. It is hubris masquerading as foreign policy. The next administration should put into effect what George W. Bush advocated but almost immediately abandoned, a 'humble' foreign policy that really puts America first."

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"Kim Jong Un’s Well-Timed 'Surprise' Portends Another Nuke Crisis"


Der Verlauf der aktuellen Krise auf der koreanischen Halbinsel wird nicht zuletzt von der Reaktion des im Wahlkampf stehenden US-Präsidenten abhängen, meint Harry J. Kazianis. "If North Korea were to test an ICBM, Trump would lose one of the signature diplomatic accomplishments he loves to brag about time and time again. It stands to reason Trump would take great offense to such a move, knowing the Biden campaign would use the launch as ammo in the campaign. And that can only mean one thing: Trump getting ultra-aggressive in trying to get North Korea to heel. In the pressure cooker that is a U.S. presidential election, there is no telling what Trump will say or do to push back against North Korea’s act of defiance. Welcome to the North Korea crisis of 2020. North Korea warned us it was coming."

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"The Post-COVID Middle East? Toast."


Im Nahen Osten und in weiten Teilen Asiens wird die Coronakrise zu einer wirtschaftlichen "Verwüstung" mit entsprechenden politischen Folgen führen, prognostiziert Bill Blunden. "The economic devastation of the COVID-19 pandemic will no doubt aggravate existing long-term trends and set the stage for instances of collapse. To appreciate this one need only study the Middle East and India, parts of which are becoming a literal tinder box. (…) Broad swaths of the planet are about to become sweltering, hungry, and desperate. You don’t have to be Thomas Malthus to guess how this story ends. Take away enough seats during a game of musical chairs and things quickly degenerates into a brutal zero-sum affair. The narrative of civilization can be defined in terms of nations competing over resources. War, plague, famine, and death are the recurring themes of this narrative."

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"One Cheer For Trump’s Troop Withdrawal From Germany"


Ivan Eland würde einen Abzug von US-Truppen aus Deutschland begrüßen. "(…) the move has created near hysteria within the U.S. foreign policy establishment. For example, Jim Townsend, a former Pentagon official who worked on Europe and NATO issues, was quoted in Business Insider gasping, 'The Administration has just lost its mind.' Although this characterization is used often in relation to the incumbent president and many of his policies, Trump is counterintuitively on the right track on the troop withdrawal from Germany. Germany is a fabulously wealthy country, with the largest economy in a European Union (EU) that has a combined GDP larger than that of the United States. Yet 75 years after World War II ended and about three decades after the Cold War evaporated with the collapse of the East Bloc and the dissolution of the Soviet Union — the NATO alliance’s principal enemy and reason for being — the United States still guarantees the security of these rich countries against a much diminished, but overhyped, Russian threat. (…) keeping U.S. forces in Germany to fulfill Lord Ismay’s dictum of NATO keeping 'the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down,' is out of date, given Germany’s responsible behavior as a stabilizing force in Europe for 75 years now."

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Europa, Asien, Afrika, Amerika und weltweite Phänomene und Institutionen. Die bpb bietet ein breites Angebot zu internationalen Themen.

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Informationsportal Krieg und Frieden

Wo gibt es Kriege und Gewaltkonflikte? Und wo herrscht am längsten Frieden? Welches Land gibt am meisten für Rüstung aus? Sicherheitspolitik.bpb.de liefert wichtige Daten und Fakten zu Krieg und Frieden.

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Innerstaatliche Konflikte

Vom Kosovo nach Kolumbien, von Somalia nach Süd-Thailand: Weltweit schwelen über 280 politische Konflikte. Und immer wieder droht die Lage gewaltsam zu eskalieren.

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Zahlen und Fakten


Kaum ein Thema wird so intensiv und kontrovers diskutiert wie die Globalisierung. "Zahlen und Fakten" liefert Grafiken, Texte und Tabellen zu einem der wichtigsten und vielschichtigsten Prozesse der Gegenwart.

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Publikationen zum Thema

Internationale Sicherheitspolitik Cover

Internationale Sicherheitspolitik

Seit Ende des Ost-West-Konflikts hat sich die internationale Sicherheitspolitik deutlich verändert....

Das Herz verlässt keinen Ort, an dem es hängt

Das Herz verlässt keinen Ort, an dem es hängt

16 Autor*innen aus Krisengebieten wünschen sich für ihre Zukunft weiterschreiben zu können. In di...

Sicherheitspolitik verstehen

Sicherheitspolitik verstehen

Wie sieht eine zeitgemäße Sicherheitspolitik angesichts einer zunehmend komplexer werdenden und st...

Am Hindukusch – und weiter?

Am Hindukusch – und weiter?

Ende 2014 zogen die letzten deutschen ISAF-Truppen aus Afghanistan ab. Dieser Band zieht Bilanz, fra...

Fluter Terror


Terrorismus bedroht die offene Gesellschaft und die kulturelle Vielfalt. Er ist uns fremd, aber er k...

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