Dsa Bild zeigt ein Hinweisschild an einem abgesperrten Düsseldorfer Spielplatz mit der Aufschrift "gesund bleiben". Wegen der Verbreitung des Corona-Virus sind Bürgerinnen und Bürger bis auf weiteres aufgefordert Sozialkontakte zu meiden.

9.7.2020

Die Corona-Krise und ihre Folgen

Ausgewählte Links aus der Sicherheitspolitischen Presseschau

Links vom 11.06.2020

"Sanctions and COVID-19: a German perspective"

Trotz der Coronakrise und der Forderungen einzelner Politiker nach einer Lockerung europäischer Sanktionen gegen Russland kann Dmitri Stratievski vom Osteuropa-Zentrum Berlin e.V. keine Zeichen für einen baldigen Strategiewechsel Berlins gegenüber Moskau erkennen. "Top German officials and politicians do not see the lifting or easing of sanctions as part of today’s agenda. Officially, Berlin tries not to get involved in a new round of discussions; but it does give unambiguous comments if necessary. (…) The coronavirus pandemic added another dimension to these debates and provided sanctions opponents with new arguments. Still, the federal government seems reluctant to take steps to lift or ease the sanctions. It also refrains from initiating such steps at the EU level. Berlin and Brussels have other priorities and pressing problems. Both politically and strategically, Germany is not ready to change its mind on the 2014 status quo." (Riddle vom 01.06.2020) https://kurz.bpb.de/ova

"Will COVID-19 temper Pyongyang’s belligerence?"

Die Coronakrise könnte dem "kriegerischen Auftreten" Nordkoreas Einhalt gebieten und zu mehr diplomatischer Kompromissbereitschaft des Regimes führen, meint Liang Tuang Nah von der S. Rajaratnam School of international Studies (RSIS) in Singapur. "Could this outbreak, with its significant negative economic impact and fatality rate, lead to enduring changes in North Korea’s strategic deterrence and nuclear weapons policy? Looking to the past under the rule of the previous North Korean leader Kim Jong-il might provide hopeful clues. The North’s decrepit healthcare system means COVID-19 could breed great misery. It might have a similar impact to the series of devastating natural disasters including hailstorms, flooding and tidal waves that plagued North Korea from 1994 to 1997. This triggered a famine which killed as many as three million people and hobbled the already-weak economy. (…) Kim Jong-un could follow his father’s playbook and use the current epidemic to negotiate medical aid — which isn’t strictly sanctioned — in return for security or nuclear compromises. This would at least induce short-term strategic stability. If the COVID-19 situation worsens and Kim is forced to focus on containing the spread of the virus rather than engaging in coercive strategies against Washington and Seoul, there could be hope for preserving stability on the Korean Peninsula. If Kim is prepared to offer arms limitation compromises like his father, prospects for denuclearisation could brighten." (East Asia Forum vom 10.06.2020) https://kurz.bpb.de/ovi

"Once a COVID-19 Vaccine Is Ready, Getting People to Take It May Be a Bigger Challenge"

Nach der Entwicklung eines Corona-Impfstoffs würden die Behörden in den USA vor dem Problem stehen, eine ausreichende Verbreitung des Serums in der Bevölkerung zu erreichen, schreiben Alina I. Palimaru, Marcus Dillistone und Charles P. Ries. "Vaccine effectiveness demands a certain percentage uptake. For COVID-19, this may range between 55 and 82 percent, depending on bio-socio-environmental factors. So the ultimate goal of an immunization campaign is to achieve the efficacious threshold. However, health care delivery in the United States is fragmented, with no national regulatory provision for adult vaccination, so a coherent federal intervention may be necessary. Beyond the Beltway, vaccination resistance may be a significant challenge. Overcoming this resistance may require addressing vaccine safety concerns, hostility to big pharma, religious beliefs, fear, unsubstantiated anecdotes or political dogma. Thus, any vaccination campaign could find itself fighting on multiple fronts simultaneously. This may be undesirable in military campaigns, but in this case it may be unavoidable." (RAND Corporation vom 09.06.2020) https://kurz.bpb.de/ovn

"Lack of international agreement on a COVID-19 vaccine could cause new conflicts"

Die Verteilung eines Corona-Impfstoffs könnte auch auf internationaler Ebene zu neuen Konflikten führen, warnt Benjamin Duerr. "The distribution of a potential vaccine against COVID-19 is likely to become one of the dominating issues that will shape international relations. Countries with the ability to control the production of a vaccine will have the power to influence and put pressure on those that don’t. They can determine the speed of economic recovery of others and use the vaccine as a bargaining tool. (...) Given the lack of regulations and the power factor of a COVID-19 vaccine, it is crucial to make an arrangement for fair and equitable distribution now. In the face of global pandemic, an international agreement to ensure global access is in the interest of everyone." (Responsible Statecraft vom 09.06.2020) https://kurz.bpb.de/ovo


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